Aggregated economic forecasts and forecast accuracy analysis.
Curated, source-traceable analytical blocks for investment analysis and planning, with an option to choose between Authoritative institutional expectations and Expectations generated by our AI-powered multi-agent systems. Select an analytical block to begin.
Institutional and our AI-powered forecasts for key macroeconomic indicators.
Living repository of institutional expectations for the US economy: growth, inflation, the Fed path, fiscal, external and commodities.
Living repository of institutional expectations for the Indian economy: growth, inflation, the RBI rate path, fiscal, external and labor.
Discount rates for Ukrainian assets — coming soon.
EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales, P/E across sectors — coming soon.
AI-aggregated social sentiments — coming soon.
Every number in the repository is traceable to a named institutional publication, and every institution's historical accuracy is measured rather than assumed.
Aggregated economic forecasts bring together the published outlooks of several authoritative institutions for the same indicator, year and country, so you can see the full range of institutional expectations instead of relying on a single source. Balgove Innovations aggregates forecasts for Ukraine, the United States and India from the IMF, World Bank, OECD, European Commission, the Federal Reserve (FOMC), CBO, EIA, the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters, the Asian Development Bank, the Reserve Bank of India, the National Bank of Ukraine and other primary publishers.
Reliability is measured, not asserted. Because every forecast vintage is archived, each institution's past projections are compared with the realised outturns to compute its Average Error, Mean Absolute Error and Adjusted Mean Absolute Error for every indicator and forecast horizon. The repository therefore shows which institution has historically been the most accurate forecaster for the specific indicator you care about — GDP growth, inflation, the policy rate, the fiscal balance or the exchange rate.
Each indicator is presented as one table: institutions down the rows, years across the columns, estimates and forecasts marked 'E' and 'F'. Click any cell to see its provenance — publisher, document, page or table, publication vintage and a link to the primary source — and download the whole table as Excel with the citations attached.
Yes — that is what the repository is built for. Analysts use the aggregated macro outlook as the driver set for financial models, budgets and financial plans, and as the macro basis for valuation and discount-rate work. Forecast-accuracy scores help you choose which institution's path to adopt as the base case and which to keep as a sensitivity.
The registry is append-only: when an institution publishes a new edition, the previous forecast is retained and marked superseded rather than overwritten. That archive of vintages is what makes genuine backtesting possible — errors are computed against what was actually knowable at the time of each forecast, not against a revised history.
Publications are monitored automatically and new editions are acquired, verified and extracted as they appear. Market and policy series — oil, natural gas, Treasury yields, the federal funds rate, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/INR, UAH/USD and the RBI repo rate — refresh daily from official and market sources.